NASCAR heads to Pennsylvania’s Pocono Raceway for 400 miles in the Tricky Triangle (2 p.m. ET, FS1).

This marks the first of three races this past year in a 2.5-mile flat track, together with the other two races arriving at Pocono again in July, also at Indianapolis Motor Speedway in September.
Under the 2019 aero package, expect restarts to be wild with the draft coming heavily into play. However, following the cars get past the first handful of laps, passing may become difficult, based on Martin Truex Jr..
That doesn’t mean a car can’t come in the back of the area to the front. Since 2005, nine drivers have won from a starting position of 12th or worse in 28 races, while nine drivers have won from the front .
Pit strategy often comes into play at Pocono, and as an excess wrinkle, there’s a 50% chance of rain beginning at 11 a.m. local time and lasting all of the way through the day. That means racing might be challenging and competitive after the second phase, and strategy can come into play much more than normal.
1 key factor I’m looking at is clinic. During the Gen-6 era of 2013 to current, 10 of the 12 Pocono race champions have fulfilled at least one of the two following criteria:
Last practice 10-lap average inside the top five
Single-lap speed averaged over all clinic sessions in the top eight
With all this said, here are just two outright value bets to win the Pocono 400.